Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 196.694484 235.208787 282.969398 347.926048 436.251546 555.834209 7.370143e+02
2025-01-19 145.584434 188.516556 248.664399 343.583651 499.423761 767.345180 1.329672e+03
2025-01-26 126.199725 172.966154 244.673903 372.072143 618.782876 1156.656252 2.830132e+03
2025-02-02 117.817718 169.702770 256.001884 427.813485 823.550065 1972.358840 8.619438e+03
2025-02-09 102.842529 152.257081 238.317835 421.651790 893.555161 2581.705479 2.092501e+04
2025-02-16 93.205670 141.563423 229.533366 429.805945 1008.562334 3653.537751 9.564596e+04
2025-02-23 84.702149 131.243922 218.885483 429.568255 1102.657120 5017.206570 2.372421e+06
2025-03-02 78.255524 123.529546 211.603527 434.797801 1224.892202 7319.890852 NaN
2025-03-09 73.046612 117.293490 206.014399 442.485206 1370.897090 11379.118863 NaN
2025-03-16 67.138033 108.951376 194.393064 429.583540 1419.124516 15266.585553 NaN
2025-03-23 65.042937 107.685474 198.032965 462.977200 1749.879140 37527.380278 NaN
2025-03-30 60.317328 100.637241 187.279069 447.866151 1792.635903 56421.568486 NaN
2025-04-06 56.644807 95.690919 181.534472 450.701829 1992.143772 152955.080150 NaN
2025-04-13 52.828117 90.091919 173.467337 443.568096 2128.781993 531978.736899 NaN
2025-04-20 51.578314 89.669377 178.025124 484.677810 2809.053324 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 51.703624 92.175000 190.658811 566.765829 4444.674576 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 48.687825 87.399486 182.863892 557.594106 4820.319465 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 46.617664 84.528282 179.860049 569.735448 5756.925594 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 44.398992 81.094667 174.697518 569.380943 6522.824865 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.590221 78.432463 171.348685 577.188474 7728.818870 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 41.017265 76.170244 168.823159 588.695955 9418.804551 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.896703 72.437866 161.344215 569.403738 9727.694029 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 38.368626 72.447831 165.316208 619.546501 15242.122306 NaN NaN